Georgia Emergency Management and Homeland Security Agency: https://gema.georgia.gov/emergencies-0/hurricane-dorian
South Carolina Emergency Management Division: https://www.scemd.org/stay-informed/latest-disaster/
North Carolina Department of Public Safety: https://www.ncdps.gov/ncem
September 7th, 2019:
10:00 am EST: Hurricane Dorian is brushing past Eastern New England, producing Tropical Storm Conditions, as it races towards Canada.
Dorian is pulling away from the Mid-Atlantic. Rain is beginning to reach parts of SE New England. Showers and heavy rain will expand into SE Canada overnight.
There are currently no watches or warnings for the Carolina’s or Virginia.
Storm clean up has begun in the affected States and power is being restored.
September 6th, 2019:
10:30 am EST: In coordination with local law enforcement and county emergency management officials, Governor Henry McMaster has lifted evacuation orders for residents in all evacuated counties, effective immediately. Those counties include: Charleston, Berkeley, Dorchester, Georgetown, and Horry. The governor lifted the evacuation orders for Beaufort, Jasper, and Colleton counties yesterday.
8:30 am EST: The eye of Dorian is passing just east of Cape Lookout, North Carolina, placing the area around Morehead City, Atlantic Beach, Cedar Island and Ocracoke Island in the hurricane’s eyewall, containing the strongest winds.
September 5th, 2019:
8:40 pm EST: Dorian was about 55 miles southeast of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, early Thursday evening, with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. Tropical storm-force winds extended 220 miles from the eye.
Hundreds of thousands were without power and North Carolinians were told to shelter in place. Almost 240,000 households and businesses were without power, most of them in counties along the South Carolina coast and immediately inland, and many roads were closed by flooding.
• At 7 p.m. Thursday, the hurricane, which had weakened to Category 2, was about 55 miles southeast of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, and was moving northeast at about 10 mph.
• The storm had maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
• Forecasters said Dorian was expected to remain close to the South Carolina coast for several more hours before it moves near or possibly even makes landfall over the North Carolina coast late Thursday or Friday.
8:25 am EST: As of 5 am ET, the center of Dorian is located 80 miles southeast of Charleston, SC. Max sustained winds are 115 mph the storm is larger today with tropical storm force winds extending out nearly 200 miles from the center. This makes Dorian a Cat 3 storm. Dorian is moving north at 8 mph.
There are no significant changes in the foretasted track. The storm will begin veering toward the northeast later today and continue that motion thru Friday. The center of Dorian will approach the coast of South Carolina later this morning, move near or over the coast of South Carolina later today, and then move near or over the coast of North Carolina tonight and early Friday.
The timing of impacts within this zone in this area is today and tomorrow (NC and VA). The highest impacts will likely be directed at areas near and along the coasts. Impacts include damaging storm surge (4-8 feet above tide) in coastal locations, heavy rains (totals above 6 in), and damaging winds (60-80 mph with higher gusts) in areas near the Coast.
September 4th, 2019:
Hurricane Dorian remains a Category 2 storm with 110mph winds, and is churning up the East coast past Florida.
In the next 24 hours it will impact Savannah and Charleston then possibly making landfall in North Carolina. The storm is only 5mph shy of becoming a Category 3 storm.
Storm surge, and coastal flooding is forecasted for the Carolinas.
There are no significant changes in the expected track or continued gradual weakening of Dorian this morning. The details below:
Currently, the center of Dorian is located 90 miles east of Daytona Beach, FL. The storm is moving north at 8 mph. Dorian is now a Category 2 storm with max sustained winds of 105 mph, however, its wind-field has expanded and currently hurricane force winds extend outward to 60 miles while tropical storm force winds extend outward to 175 miles.
The forecast track continues to nudge slightly closer to the coastal areas of the Carolina’s as the storm begins to veer in a northeasterly direction by tonight and tomorrow. The center of Dorian is expected to skirt the coastal areas of South Carolina tonight/tomorrow and North Carolina on Thursday night/Friday. Odds of Dorian making landfall on the Southeast Coast (the Carolinas) has risen to 65 percent compared to 55 percent yesterday. Even if the center of Dorian does not “officially” make landfall, the most conservative model brings it within 10 miles of the Coast. We expect Dorian to remain a hurricane on its track along the coast of the Carolina’s thru Friday.
Dorian is expected to continue to slowly weaken. It will still be a Category 2 storm the next 24 hours and then be downgraded to a Category 1 storm later Thursday and Friday.
The risk for the coastal areas of the East Coast of Florida is ending from south to north across the Peninsula. The northeast portion of Florida (the Jacksonville area for example) will continue to be impacted today and tonight before the storm moves up the Coast on Thursday.
The risk remains elevated for eastern areas of North Carolina as well as southeast Virginia including the Norfolk area.
Additional areas of impact will be the East Coast of the Delmarva Peninsula, far eastern Long Island, and Cape Cod (indirect impacts) as well as the Canadian Maritimes (primarily Nova Scotia and Newfoundland) with more of a direct impact.
September 3rd, 2019:
As of 2 p.m. EDT Tuesday, Dorian was a Category 2 hurricane causing “life-threatening” storm surge on Grand Bahama Island, the National Hurricane Center said. The storm has top sustained winds of 110 mph and was moving northwest at 5 mph.
Watches and warnings in effect
A summary of watches and warnings in effect, via the National Hurricane Center.
- A hurricane warning was in effect in Florida from Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach and in South Carolina from north of Edisto Beach to South Santee River.
- A hurricane watch was in effect from north of Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, to Edisto Beach, South Carolina; north of South Santee River, South Carolina, to Duck, North Carolina; and Albemarle and Pamlico sounds in North Carolina.
- A tropical storm warning was in effect in Florida from north of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet; from north of Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, to Edisto Beach, South Carolina; and in the Bahamas for Grand Bahama and the Abaco Islands.
- A storm surge warning was in effect from Jupiter Inlet, Florida, to South Santee River, South Carolina.
- A storm surge watch was in effect from north of South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Lookout, North Carolina.
Dorian has remained stalled during the past 24 hours over Grand Bahama Island. The center of Dorian is located 105 miles due east of West Palm Beach, Florida. The storm has weakened to a Category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph.
As for the forecast, there are no surprises no major changes in the expected track thru the end of the week. Later today, Dorian will begin to drift north and then northwest as it parallels the East Coast of Florida. It now looks like the center of Dorian will most likely skirt just off the coast of Florida versus making landfall. Our odds of the center of Dorian making landfall on the East Coast of Florida is reduced to 20 percent from 50 percent yesterday.
It is important to note that even if Dorian does not make an “official landfall”, much of the East Coast of Florida will have major impacts from Dorian. This is especially the case from Melbourne to Jacksonville. The most significant threat period for the East Coast will be tonight thru Wednesday night. As for intensity, further weakening is likely as it drifts north toward the Southeast U.S. Coast.
The risk to the coastal areas of the Southeast U.S. (GA and the Carolinas) continues to be high. Landfall of a weakened Dorian (but still a cat 1 or 2 storm) is more likely in this area (especially in SC and NC) versus the East Coast of Florida. Our odds of the center of Dorian making landfall in SC or NC is 55 percent today. The timing of impact is Wednesday night (GA) thru Friday (NC).
September 2nd, 2019:
Dorian continues to spin as a catastrophic Category 4 hurricane with winds of 140 mph. The storm is no longer moving. The center track has shifted slightly to the east. A slow westward to west- northwestward motion is expected to resume overnight and continue into early Tuesday. A turn toward the northwest is forecast by late Tuesday, with a northeastward motion forecast to begin by Wednesday night. The hurricane will then move dangerously close to the Florida east coast late Tuesday through Wednesday evening and then move dangerously close to the Georgia and South Carolina coasts on Wednesday night and Thursday.
- Tropical Storm Watches & Warnings are issued for the East Coast of Florida
- Hurricane Watches issued for Charleston SC, & Savannah GA
Dorian remains a Category 5 storm with maximum sustained winds of 165 mph and a central pressure of 916 mb. The center of Dorian is located 110 miles due east of West Palm Beach, FL.
Dorian has stalled over Grand Bahama Island and catastrophic damage is occurring today as it did yesterday on Abaco Island.
As for the forecast, there are no significant changes in the most recent computer guidance. Dorian is expected to stay in the same basic location today (stalled) before it begins moving northwest and eventually north. Our odds of the center of Dorian making landfall on the East Coast of Florida remain at 50/50. If it does make landfall, the most likely zone will be the more northern coastal areas – Cape Canaveral to Jacksonville. Even if Dorian does not make an “official landfall”, much of the East Coast of Florida will have major impacts via Dorian. This is especially the case from Melbourne to Jacksonville. The most significant threat period for the East Coast will be from later tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday night.
The risk to the Southeast U.S. (Georgia and the Carolina’s) has increased from Sunday. This is especially true for the coastal areas and areas near the coast. Dorian is expected to continue moving north and either skirt the coast or move inland in these areas. The storm will be weaker at this time, but significant impacts, especially from storm surge and heavy rainfall, is expected. The most significant threat period for the Southeast U.S. is from Wednesday night through Friday.
September 1st, 2019:
Mandatory evacuations for South Carolina will go into effect tomorrow
Mandatory evacuations orders will go into effect starting Monday at noon for several South Carolina counties, Gov. Henry McMaster announced in a news The conference.
The executive order can be found here.
Here are the counties that will in the order:
- Jasper County Zone A
- All of Beaufort County
- Colleton County Zone A & B
- All of Charleston County
- Berkeley County Zones B & G
- Dorchester County Zone D
- Georgetown County Zone A
- Horry County Zone A
Residents can use this map to determine their zone.
McMaster added that schools and government offices will be closed until further notice starting Tuesday morning in Jasper, Beaufort, Colleton, Charleston, Berkeley, Dorchester, Georgetown and Horry Counties.
Current forecast for southern Georgia and the eastern Carolina’s means there could be significant impacts to supply chain and business operations. While the risk is increasing, there remains uncertainty with the location, timing, and magnitude of impacts within this zone.
The timing of possible impacts in this area is from Wednesday through Saturday (Sept 4-7). The highest impacts will likely be directed at areas near, and along the Coast of Georgia and the Carolina’s. Possible impacts include damaging storm surge in coastal locations, heavy rains, and damaging winds. It is too early to discuss the specifics of these variables.
This is a helpful NOOA’ resource that tracks the Hurricane Dorian path and shows info on impacted coastal areas:
For more information, visit www.focus-usa.org/prepare/hurricanes/
For non-emergency assistance call 1(877)FOCUS59.
In case of an emergency, always call 911.